Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 16.901948 19.695046 22.733054 26.273534 30.276450 34.651920 39.786250
2025-02-23 11.987763 15.761422 20.289231 26.075484 33.222018 41.704858 52.475575
2025-03-02 9.110985 13.217629 18.548053 25.867517 35.534767 47.731343 64.126522
2025-03-09 7.196837 11.371994 17.168604 25.621617 37.416587 53.045018 75.021720
2025-03-16 5.444795 9.344162 15.116658 24.021327 37.088982 55.186682 81.676496
2025-03-23 4.727173 8.689008 14.871237 24.850504 40.093185 61.946758 94.941301
2025-03-30 4.215450 8.250475 14.854299 25.953992 43.515553 69.463063 109.698307
2025-04-06 3.483732 7.295344 13.858461 25.368251 44.255541 73.036446 118.891935
2025-04-13 2.786185 6.260057 12.562416 24.101028 43.739668 74.593181 125.074945
2025-04-20 2.575787 6.106232 12.768567 25.363294 47.383025 82.755588 141.754214
2025-04-27 2.434418 6.062545 13.159203 26.967715 51.695244 92.207972 160.932539
2025-05-04 2.177221 5.727105 12.950378 27.454082 54.107447 98.707100 175.739879
2025-05-11 1.875522 5.259833 12.468381 27.472656 55.866250 104.518313 190.257199
2025-05-18 1.583234 4.755505 11.847601 27.175064 57.072814 109.562706 203.977080
2025-05-25 1.342998 4.319406 11.298437 26.942694 58.360258 114.810493 218.332993
2025-06-01 1.139667 3.925728 10.774376 26.684941 59.551063 119.931367 232.724202
2025-06-08 0.887429 3.323697 9.662664 25.027087 57.832478 119.679277 237.700879
2025-06-15 0.809591 3.210563 9.701743 25.885753 61.202873 128.919992 259.946878
2025-06-22 0.753205 3.149660 9.860727 27.028380 65.236739 139.617191 285.329327
2025-06-29 0.629020 2.829988 9.296552 26.421881 65.552451 143.278485 298.055783
2025-07-06 0.499770 2.446141 8.484735 25.109513 64.221035 143.650085 304.672810
2025-07-13 0.474685 2.439117 8.725873 26.416746 68.720781 155.697323 333.772370
2025-07-20 0.461036 2.473521 9.092491 28.077859 74.125537 169.812766 367.399594